Evaluating the Maximum Region for Parametric Model Uncertainties in Variable-Oriented Photovoltaic Systems

Authors

  • Daniel-Marian Bancila Dept.of Automatic Control and Systems Engineering, National University of Science and Technology POLITEHNICA Bucharest, Romania
  • Stefania-Cristiana Colbu Dept.of Automatic Control and Systems Engineering, National University of Science and Technology POLITEHNICA Bucharest, Romania
  • Dumitru Popescu Dept.of Automatic Control and Systems Engineering, National University of Science and Technology POLITEHNICA Bucharest, Romania

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15837/ijccc.2025.5.6829

Keywords:

uncertainty region, optimal control, stability, renewable energy

Abstract

Renewable energy has been a worldwide subject of interest in the last decades, because of the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Solar is among the most widespread energy resources as it has almost limitless installation possibilities on Earth’s surface. Photovoltaic panels play a key role in the energy industry, having a dynamically evolving chemical structure of the cell and being implemented in many applications within various weather conditions. This paper will focus on introducing and analyzing an optimal control strategy for variable-oriented photovoltaic systems to address the issue of suboptimal generation. In contrast with the traditional Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) approaches, a stability analysis will be performed and parametric model uncertainties will be introduced to emulate the real-world variable conditions, such as temperature and irradiance changes. These uncertainties will help determine the maximum region for which the control strategy still keeps the best performances, regarding reference tracking and regulation. The novelty of the paper comes from introducing in the photovoltaic control and optimization field, the approach of delimiting the parametric uncertainty margins, for which a designed Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR) controller will keep the stability and performances, which was not previously addressed in this field. Accordingly, it will be shown that a robust controller can guarantee maximum power at output even though the model of the system evolved influenced by environmental factors, degradation of the system’s components or another system’s abnormal behavior. In this paper, it will be also introduced a series of simulation results, that will emphasize the stabilized system evolution for various uncertainties within the computed maximum stability margins. The simulation findings indicate that the implemented robust LQR will offer similar response time, without oscillations and, implicitly, similar performances for the entire family of parametric uncertainties added to the initial system. In other words, the approach can offer a cost-effective solution for sustainable large-scale energy production.

References

Abut, T. (2016). Modeling and optimal control of a DC motor, Int. J. Eng. Trends Technol, 32(3), 146-150, 2016. https://doi.org/10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V32P227

Alomar, O.R; Ali, O. M.; Ali, B. M.; Qader, V. S.; Ali, O. M. (2023). Energy, exergy, economical and environmental analysis of photovoltaic solar panel for fixed, single and dual axis tracking systems: An experimental and theoretical study, Case Studies in Thermal Engineering, Elsevier, 51, 103635, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csite.2023.103635

Anbarasi, M. P.; Kanthalakshmi, S. (2016). Linear quadratic optimal control of solar photovoltaic system: An experimental validation, Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy, AIP Publishing 8(5), 2016. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.4966229

Assouline, D.; Mohajeri, N.; Scartezzini, J.L. (2017). Quantifying rooftop photovoltaic solar energy potential: A machine learning approach, Solar Energy, Elsevier, 141, 278-296, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2016.11.045

Bancila, D.M.; Popescu, D.; Colbu, S.C.; Megard, A.; Blanchard, M. (2022). Optimal control for solar tracking systems, Proceedings of the 2022 26th International Conference on System Theory, Control and Computing (ICSTCC), IEEE 509-514, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICSTCC55426.2022.9931807

Boubaker, O. (2022). A comprehensive review and classified comparison of MPPT algorithms in PV systems, Energy Systems, Springer 13(2), 281-320 ,2022. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12667-021-00427-x

Boubaker, O. (2023). MPPT techniques for photovoltaic systems: a systematic review in current trends and recent advances in artificial intelligence, Discover Energy, Springer 3(1), 2023. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43937-023-00024-2

Brogan, W.L. (1991). Modern control theory, Prentice-Hall, 1991.

Calabrò, E. (2009). Determining optimum tilt angles of photovoltaic panels at typical northtropical latitudes, Journal of renewable and sustainable energy, AIP Publishing 1(3), 2009. https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3148272

Hassan, Q; Abbas, M. K,; Abdulateef, A. M.; Abdulateef, J.; Mohamad, A. (2021). Assessment the potential solar energy with the models for optimum tilt angles of maximum solar irradiance for Iraq, Case Studies in Chemical and Environmental Engineering, Elsevier, 4, 100140, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cscee.2021.100140

Kashyap, M.; Lessard, L. (2023). Guaranteed stability margins for decentralized linear quadratic regulators IEEE Control Systems Letters, IEEE 7, 1778-1782, 2023. https://doi.org/10.1109/LCSYS.2023.3280868

Li, D.H.W.; Lam, T.N.T; Chu, V.W.C (2008). Relationship between the total solar radiation on tilted surfaces and the sunshine hours in Hong Kong, In Solar energy, Elsevier, 82(12), 1220-1228, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2008.06.002

Liu, J.; Qu, Q.; Yang, H.; Zhang, J.; Liu, Z. (2024). Deep learning-based intelligent fault diagnosis for power distribution networks, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF COMPUTERS COMMUNICATIONS & CONTROL, 19(4), 2024. https://doi.org/10.15837/ijccc.2024.4.6607

Mazumdar, D.; Sain, C; Biswas, P.K.; Sanjeevikumar, P. and Khan, B. (2024). Overview of solar photovoltaic MPPT methods: a state of the art on conventional and artificial intelligence control techniques, International Transactions on Electrical Energy Systems, 2024(1), 8363342, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1155/2024/8363342

Mone, M.A.; Diop, S.; Popescu, D.(2021). Evaluating the maximum domain of parameter model uncertainties in the combustion of a Diesel engine, Proceedings of the 2021 25th International Conference on System Theory, Control and Computing (ICSTCC), IEEE 12-17, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICSTCC52150.2021.9607091

Montoya, G.; Lozano-Garzón, C.; Paternina-Arboleda, C.; Donoso, Y. (2025). A Mathematical Optimization Approach for Prioritized Services in IoT Networks for Energy-constrained Smart Cities, INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF COMPUTERS COMMUNICATIONS & CONTROL, 20(1), 2025. https://doi.org/10.15837/ijccc.2025.1.6912

Mukhatov, A.; Thao, N. G. M.; Do, T. D. (2022). Linear quadratic regulator and fuzzy control for grid-connected photovoltaic systems, Energies, MDPI 15(4), 1286, 2022. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15041286

Oaxaca-Adams, G; Villafuerte-Segura, R.; Aguirre-Hernández, B. (2024). On Hurwitz stability for families of polynomials, International Journal of Robust and Nonlinear Control, 34(7), 4576-4594, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1002/rnc.7215

Rahdan, P.; Zeyen, E.; Gallego-Castillo, C.; Victoria, M. (2024). Distributed photovoltaics provides key benefits for a highly renewable European energy system, Applied Energy, Elsevier, 360, 122721, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.122721

Ritchie, H.; Roser, M.; Rosado, P. (2020). Renewable Energy, Our World in Data, [Online]. Available: https://ourworldindata.org/renewable-energy/, Accesed on 08 July 2024 .

Rowell, D. (2002). State-space representation of LTI systems, URL: http://web. mit. edu/2.14/www/Handouts/StateSpace. pdf, 1-18, 2002.

Sadraddini, S.; Tedrake, R. (2020). Robust output feedback control with guaranteed constraint satisfaction Proceedings of the 23rd International Conference on Hybrid Systems: Computation and Control 1-10, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1145/3365365.3382211

Sarailoo, M.; Akhlaghi, S.; Rezaeiahari, M.; Sangrody, H. (2017). Residential solar panel performance improvement based on optimal intervals and optimal tilt angle, 2017 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting, IEEE, 1-5, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1109/PESGM.2017.8274587

Sharma, D.; Jalil, M. F.; Ansari, M. S.; Bansal, R.C. (2024). A Review of Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) Techniques for Photovoltaic Array Under Mismatch Conditions, Photovoltaic Systems Technology, 85-102, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781394167678.ch5

Terrell, W.J. (1999). Some fundamental control theory I: controllability, observability, and duality, The American Mathematical Monthly, Taylor & Francis 106(8), 705-719, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1080/00029890.1999.12005110

[Online]. Available: https://www.ato.com/200w-dc-servo-motor, Accessed on 15 August 2024.

[Online]. Available: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Renewable_energy_statistics#Accesed on 08 July 2024.

[Online]. Available: https://solarmentors.com/solar-panel-tilt-angle-calculator/, Accessed on 15 August 2024.

[Online]. Available: https://www.victronenergy.com/upload/documents/Datasheet-BlueSolar- Monocrystalline-Panels-EN-.pdf, Accessed on 15 August 2024.

Additional Files

Published

2025-09-11

Most read articles by the same author(s)

Obs.: This plugin requires at least one statistics/report plugin to be enabled. If your statistics plugins provide more than one metric then please also select a main metric on the admin's site settings page and/or on the journal manager's settings pages.